How accurately did science fiction stories predict AI?

The author argues that science fiction is descriptive rather than predictive, then scores famous stories against how AI was actually built, what it could do, and how it was deployed. Ted Chiang's "The Lifecycle of Software Objects" ranks first for its account of teaching, maintaining and selling AI, followed by Heinlein's "The Moon Is a Harsh Mistress" and Ken Liu's "50 Things Every AI Working with Humans Should Know." The author found no pre-2017 work that clearly describes the transformer attention mechanism or the sequence from chatbots to agents capable of novel mathematical results.