AI Purgatory model estimates income recovery time for the unemployed
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An interactive model called AI Purgatory has launched, designed to estimate when unemployed workers in AI-exposed jobs will see their incomes return to the level they would have reached without AI. The model simulates around five variables: the pace of AI arrival, the amount of new job creation, re-employment rates and wage gaps, government taxation of AI profits for redistribution, and profit ownership, and allows labor income shares and safety nets to be set by country. The author says the result dates the model produces are illustrative rather than predictions, and can shift by several years as assumptions change.
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- Hacker News AIShow HN: AI Purgatory – how long until AI-exposed workers are back on track
An interactive model that follows one worker in an AI-exposed job and compares their income with the path it would have taken without AI, driven by five adjustable questions: the speed of AI adoption and growth, how much new work AI creates, how many displaced workers find new jobs and at what pay, how much of AI's profits is taxed and sent to exposed workers, and where those profits land. It draws on IMF job-exposure estimates, ILO labor-share data, BLS re-employment figures and OECD safety-net rates, and presents recovery dates as illustrative rather than forecasts.
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