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Screening cost-effective AI models with portfolio theory

1 reports1 sources16 hr agoUpdated

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An analysis based on Artificial Analysis and OpenRouter data borrows portfolio theory to screen models along the two dimensions of intelligence and cost, identifying 8 Pareto-efficient models among 26—options that are cheaper at equal intelligence or more intelligent at equal cost. The analysis says that under a pure token-cost basis, GPT-6 Luna is the most efficient. The conclusion addresses the trade-off between intelligence and token cost and does not cover other expenses or use cases.

AI overview based on source reports · Updated 16 hr ago

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Nov 5
  1. Hacker News AI
    The efficient frontier of AI models

    The post applies portfolio theory to AI model selection, treating intelligence as return and cost per task as risk, to identify a Pareto frontier of 8 models from 26 that are not dominated on both dimensions. It ranks frontier models by "points per dollar" above the best free model (K2 Horizon), finding GPT-6 Luna most efficient on token cost alone, Beam 1.0 or GPT-6.1 Terra when a well-paid person is waiting, and MiMo-V2.6-Pro under a minimum-score constraint. It also flags where the analogy breaks: you cannot hold a fraction of a model on a single task or lever up, and cost is not known in advance since long agent sessions can cost 6 to 11 times a typical one.

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